Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 4.145234 4.516033 4.925197 5.414195 5.988146 6.647461 7.472661
2025-11-23 3.667057 4.160269 4.743815 5.499397 6.474470 7.725380 9.516168
2025-11-30 3.345354 3.890168 4.563434 5.482212 6.748627 8.512559 11.329562
2025-12-07 3.035890 3.586696 4.286950 5.276964 6.706016 8.820828 12.503067
2025-12-14 2.782255 3.325317 4.030337 5.054077 6.585787 8.966239 13.428888
2025-12-21 2.646921 3.203689 3.943334 5.050034 6.775772 9.619553 15.474991
2025-12-28 2.519644 3.081104 3.841230 5.007527 6.892141 10.164889 17.534491
2026-01-04 2.365285 2.910732 3.657917 4.822678 6.748458 10.211040 18.511822
2026-01-11 2.279144 2.828508 3.593019 4.810749 6.889052 10.815798 21.159462
2026-01-18 2.236401 2.803412 3.607503 4.922294 7.256864 11.960592 26.100919
2026-01-25 2.371738 3.039600 4.027582 5.743910 9.097807 17.093703 53.577622
2026-02-01 2.234378 2.868581 3.809946 5.453421 8.691163 16.528430 53.913348
2026-02-08 2.104193 2.712943 3.623980 5.233911 8.469866 16.608168 60.300998
2026-02-15 2.043568 2.659090 3.596874 5.298992 8.878670 18.730207 91.897641
2026-02-22 1.973154 2.585446 3.531156 5.283768 9.105610 20.457655 139.823812
2026-03-01 1.875085 2.464164 3.379292 5.090363 8.880800 20.533947 168.656082
2026-03-08 1.781488 2.345666 3.225442 4.880085 8.584138 20.241146 191.507144
2026-03-15 1.732945 2.294722 3.180645 4.876267 8.794424 22.061312 370.058562
2026-03-22 1.681663 2.236952 3.120597 4.836125 8.906112 23.593045 889.013220
2026-03-29 1.610744 2.145410 2.998452 4.661416 8.637273 23.262559 1268.353174
2026-04-05 1.571962 2.103227 2.958534 4.650133 8.806407 25.203751 NaN
2026-04-12 1.554542 2.094126 2.974806 4.755597 9.323044 29.586922 NaN
2026-04-19 1.633569 2.244669 3.283230 5.529837 12.152335 58.820039 NaN